The Harmonic Trader

Harmonic Trading is a new and exciting area of technical analysis that utilizes the powerful synergies of Fibonacci measurement techniques to quantify specific price patterns. Like a combination to a safe, these strategies unlock valid market signals in an unprecedented fashion.  Read more »

Imagine entering into a position in a given stock and not caring whether the price goes up or down. This is the very position of the volatility trader…

Book Description

The concept of profiting from trading volatility is not new, but is known to only a few players in the derivatives industry. Buying and Selling Volatility is the first book to explain this trading strategy in detail without using complex mathematics. Offering a new approach to the subject of options, seen purely from a volatility viewpoint, the author uses illustrations to clearly explain the connection between volatility and options. He explains how investors can profit from the volatility, or lack of volatility, of an option price regardless of whether the market rises or falls. Useful to both novice investors and professional traders, Buying and Selling Volatility also supplies the reader with a risk management software system that is comparable to those used commercially.    Read more »

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Technical analysis is research of market dynamics that is done mainly with the help of charts and with the purpose of forecasting future price development. Technical analysis comprises several approaches to the study of price movement which are interconnected in the framework of one harmonious theory. This type of analysis studies the price movement on the market by means of analyzing three market factors: price, volumes, and, in case of study of futures contracts’ market, of an open interest (number of open positions). Of these three factors the primary one for technical analysis is the prices, while the alterations in other factors are studies mainly in order to confirm the correctness of the identified price trend. This technical theory, just like any theory, has its core postulates.           Read more »

Think of prices for financial instruments as a result of a head-to-head battle between a bull (the buyer) and a bear (the seller). Bulls push prices higher, and bears lower them. The direction prices actually move shows who wins the battle.

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Breaking through support or resistance levels results in a change of traders’ expectations (which causes supply/demand lines to shift).

This type of a change is often abrupt and «news based». Such changes may have a certain trend. A trend represents a consistent change in prices. Trends differ from support/resistance levels in that trends represent change, whereas support/resistance levels represent barriers to change.

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Moving averages are one of the oldest and most popular technical analysis tools. A moving average is the average price of a financial instrument over a given time. When calculating a moving average, you specify the time span to calculate the average price. For example, it could be 25 days.

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In technical analysis, lines and various geometric figures to be plotted in price charts or in indicator charts are called line studies. Those include the Support/Resistance Lines and Trend Lines described above, along with: Read more »

An indicator is a result of mathematical calculation, based on prices and/or volume. The figures received are used for forecasting price changes. There is a vast number of elaborated technical indicators. Some of them are presented in MetaTrader 4 :  Read more »

Regardless of the “timeframes” of the data in your charts (i.e., hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, etc.), the basic principles of technical analysis endure. Opportunities exist in any time frame. But customized settings of the technical analysis tools are needed for each time period.

On the weekly chart, the scale interval on the time axis is one week. On the monthly chart, correspondingly, every bar shows price behavior for one complete month. It is obvious that in order to cover a longer period of time and to be able to analyze long-term trends, one has to compress the price behavior. A weekly chart, for example, can cover a period of five years and more, the monthly chart can cover twenty years or more. This is how the analyst manages to see far ahead of her-/himself and that is how s/he can assess the market in terms of the long-term opportunities, which are really valuable while conducting the technical analysis.           Read more »